As global food production shifts toward developing countries, welfare standards must advance alongside production growth to prevent a welfare race to the bottom.
The global welfare picture is shaped by where production is concentrated. As intensive farming expands rapidly in countries with limited welfare regulation, the aggregate global welfare situation is likely worsening despite improvements in some high-income markets. Applying welfare standards only to imports while relaxing them for domestic production creates unfair competitive dynamics that disadvantage welfare-conscious producers. Supporting welfare capacity building in producing countries — through training, legislation development, and certification infrastructure — is more effective than exclusionary trade policy alone. International coordination through OIE and regional bodies is improving but moving slower than production growth.