Vole population cycles drive the welfare of specialist predators including short-eared owls, barn owls, and kestrels through boom-bust prey availability.
Predators dependent on cycling vole populations face significant welfare challenges during low-vole years. Short-eared owls that cannot find sufficient prey during winter vole crashes face starvation that drives population movements and mortality. Barn owl pairs in poor vole years may raise no chicks, with the parents' welfare relatively maintained but no reproductive contribution. Rough grassland creation that supports higher baseline vole densities buffers predator welfare between cycle peaks.