Kestrels have declined substantially across UK farmland as vole populations have fallen with grassland intensification, reducing the prey base that supports breeding pairs.
Kestrel welfare is primarily a prey availability story — on farmland where intensive management has eliminated rough grassland and vole populations, even optimal nest provision cannot support breeding pairs without adequate food. Welfare impacts of chronic food shortage include reduced breeding attempt frequency, smaller clutch sizes, chick starvation and adult body condition decline. The cumulative welfare cost of food-poor farmland territories operates year-round, not just during the breeding season. Agri-environment scheme management that creates rough grassland habitats with high vole density is the primary kestrel welfare intervention.